The workshop was sponsored by AIACC and the Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA) and locally hosted and organized by Laboratoire de Physique de l’Atmosphere (Université Cheikh Anta DIOP de Dakar / Ecole Supérieure Polytechnique). The LPA is the home of AIACC Regional Study AF20 led by Dr. Amadou Gaye.

The Workshop Report "Messages from Dakar"

Workshop Documents

• Final Agenda [MS Word]
  
• Final Participant List [PDF]
  
• Logistical Information for Participants [MS Word]
• Role of Invited Guests [MS Word]
• List of Topics and Questions for Plenary Sessions [MS Word]
• Papers Prepared and Submitted by Invited Guests and Stakeholders
  • Emma Archer, South Africa [MS Word]
  • Michel Boko, Benin [MS Word]
  • Mark Botha, South Africa [MS Word]
  • Mohamed El Ghandour, Egypt [MS Word]
  • Ismail Gizouli, Sudan [MS Word]
  • George Green, South Africa [MS Word]
  • Bertjan Heij, Netherlands [MS Word]
  • Festus Leboyera, Germany/South Africa [MS Word]
  • David Lesolle, Botswana [MS Word]
  • Akiiki Magezi-Akiiki, Uganda [MS Word]

Abstracts, Presentations, and Breakout Session Reports

Please click on the links after the presentation/session title to download the desired file.

Day 1: Wednesday March 24, 2004

Opening Plenary

Official Welcome Ceremony

Linking AIACC with the National Communications (Mr. Festus Leboyera, Programme Officer, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change) [PPT, 108KB]

Netherlands Research Program on Climate Change (Mr. BertJan Heij) [PPT, 48KB]

Plenary: Climate Change Impacts & Vulnerability (Chair: Amadou Gaye)

Welcome from AIACC Science Director (Dr. Neil Leary) [Abstract] and Dr. Amadou Gaye (AIACC Principal Investigator and Workshop Host)

Rural household livelihood strategies and food insecurity in the Sahel: Case study of Mali (Abou Berthe, AF92, Mali) [PPT, 12.2 MB] [Abstract]

Assessing the Impacts of Climate Variability on Crop Yield: The example of the Sudano-Sahelian ecological zone in Nigeria. (James O. Adejuwon, AF23, Nigeria) [PPT, 504KB] [Abstract]

Likely impacts of climate change on availability of natural forest products: The case of Phane Caterpillar in the Limpopo Basin part of Botswana. (Opha Pauline Dube and M.B.M. Sekhwela, AF42, Botswana) [PPT, 83.1 MB] [Abstract]

Methodology of studying the impacts of climate change on crop productivity (Mahmoud Medany, AF90, Egypt) [PPT, 3 MB] [Abstract]

Plenary: Climate Change Impacts & Vulnerability (Chair: Shem Wandiga)

Climate change and biodiversity: Developing tools for assessing impacts and their implications for conservation (Guy Midgley, AF04, South Africa) [PPT, 13.4 MB] [Abstract]

Stakeholder engagement by survey analysis in Tunisia (Raoudha Mougou, AF90, Tunisia) [PPT, 2.6 MB] [Abstract]

Vulnerability and adaptability to malaria and cholera in the Lake Victoria region (Richard Kangalawe, AF91, Tanzania) [PPT, 1.3 MB] [Abstract]

Forecasting impact of climate change on change on runoff coefficient in Limpopo Basin using ANN (Prof. Parida, AF42, Botswana) [PPT, 12.5 MB] [Abstract]

Breakout Sessions

A: Present Day Climate Risks: What present day climate phenomena give rise to the greatest present day impacts and vulnerabilities? What are the lessons for future vulnerability? (Chair: Tom Downing; Reporter: Mahmoud Medany) [Report]

B: Determinants of Vulnerability to Future Climate Change: What are the most important determinants of vulnerability to future climate change? What does this tell us about who is most vulnerable? (Chair: Anthony Nyong; Reporter: Pauline Dube) [Report]

C: Experience with Methods for Assessing Vulnerability: How effective are the various methods being employed by AIACC regional studies to measure vulnerability? (Chair: Isabelle Niang-Diop; Reporter: Bill Dougherty) [Report]

Stakeholder Session: A discussion of the role of invited guests in the workshop (Chair: Neil Leary)

Plenary (Chair: Neil Leary)

AIACC Synthesis Survey (Ana Iglesias) [PPT, 1 MB]
Reports from Breakout Sessions & Discussion
Review plans for day 2

Day 2: Thursday March 25, 2004

Plenary: Climate Variability, Changes and Scenarios (Chair: Bruce Hewitson)

Uncertainty in climate scenarios – going from the GCM to downscaling with an RCM (Mark Tadross and Bill Gutowski, AF07, South Africa) [PPT, 2.5 MB] [Abstract]

GCM simulations for West Africa: validation against observations and projections for future change. (Greg Jenkins, Amadou Gaye, Andre Kamga, A. Adedoyin, A. Garba, Abdoulaye Sarr, AF20, Senegal) [PPT, 1.4 MB] [Abstract]

Simulation of present-day climate of West Africa using the Hadley Centre regional climate modeling system. (Andre Kamga, Greg Jenkins, Amadou Gaye, Adamou Garba, Abdoulaye Sarr, A. Adedoyin, AF20, Senegal) [PPT, 1 MB] [Abstract]

Plenary: Climate Variability, Changes and Scenarios (Chair: Abdoulaye Sarr)

New empirical downscaled scenarios for Africa (Bruce Hewitson and Rob Crane, AF07, South Africa/USA) [PPT, 616 KB] [PPT, 8.8 MB] [Abstract]

Regional climate modeling simulations of the West African climate system (Greg Jenkins, Amadou Gaye, Bamba Sylla, AF20, Senegal) [PPT, 1.8 MB] [Abstract]

Variability and Intensity of the Little Dry Season in South-western Nigeria (Theophilus Odekunle, AF23, Nigeria) [PPT, 232 KB] [Abstract]

Climate and Hydrological Variability and extremes in Lake Victoria Basin (Dan Olago, AF91, Kenya) [PPT, 324 KB] [Abstract]

Plenary: Socioeconomic Scenarios (Chair: Pauline Dube)

Environmental Strategies for increasing human reslience in Sudan (El Amin Sanjak Mohamed, AF14, Sudan [PPT, 136 KB] [Abstract]

Developing local scale socio-economic scenarios for climate impact assessment. (Nyong, A., Adepetu, A., Dabi, D., and Ihemegbulem, V., AF92, Nigeria) [PPT 1.2 MB] [Abstract]

Breakout Sessions

A: Methods for Climate Change Scenario Construction: What methods are being used by AIACC projects to construct scenarios of climate change? (Include discussion of the CD tool developed by CSAG-UCT). (Chair: Bruce Hewitson; Reporter: Andre Kamga) [Report]

B: Hands-On Exercise for Building Socio-Economic Scenarios: What methods are being used by AIACC projects to construct scenarios and/or incorporate variables representing future socioeconomic conditions? Which have been useful or effective, and which have not? (Chair: Tom Downing; Reporter: Maggie Opondo) [Report]

C: Lessons from Coping with Current Climate for Future Adaptation: How useful is it to rely on adaptation to current climate variability as a means for assessing capacity to adapt to future climate change? (Chair: Bill Dougherty; Reporter: Molly Hellmuth) [Report] [PPT, 48 KB]

Plenary (Chair: Ian Burton)

Discussion of AIACC Synthesis [PPT, 132 KB]
Reports from Breakout Sessions & Discussion
Review plans for day 3

Day 3: Friday March 26, 2004

Plenary: Adaptation Opportunities and Decision Making (Chair: Balgis Osman)

Ensuring that biodiversity can keep up with a changing climate. A framework for considering adaptation options (Graham von Maltitz, Jenny Cooper and others, AF04, South Africa) [PPT, 1 MB] [Abstract]

How communities of Western Sudan have coped with and adapted to present climate hazards. (Sumaya Zakieldin, AF14, Sudan) [PPT, 1.3 MB] [Abstract]

Agronomic Adaptations to climate Extremes (P.O. Aina, AF23, Nigeria) [PPT, 184 KB] [Abstract]

Coastal adaptation in the tourism industry (Alain De Comarmond, SIS90, Seychelles) [PPT, 6.5 MB] [Abstract]

Plenary: Adaptation Opportunities and Decision Making (Chair: Abou Berthe)

Cultural Heritage Tourism - A potential Adaptation Strategy to Climate Change in the North East District - Limpopo Basin Botswana (Naomi Moswete, AF42, Botswana) [PPT, 2.7 MB] [Abstract]

Adapting to droughts in semi-arid Nigeria: Influencing factors and enhancing opportunities. (Dabi, D., Nyong, A., Adepetu, A. and Ihemegbulem V.C., AF92, Nigeria) [PPT, 232 KB] [Abstract]

Capacity Building in Analytical tools for estimating and comparing costs and benefits of adaptation projects in the Berg River basin, South Africa, (Daan Louw, AF47, South Africa) [PPT, 1.3 MB] [Abstract]

Agricultural vulnerability in the Gambia: Novel or re-discovered adaptation strategies. (Momodou Njie/Bernard Gomez, AF47, Gambia) [PPT, 324 KB] [Abstract]

Assessment of the Impact of Policy and Institutional Frameworks on Communities' Vulnerability and Adaptation Capacity to Drought in Kgatleng District, Eastern Botswana (Kevin K. Gichangi and Elisha N. Toteng, AF42, Botswana) [PPT, 776 KB] [Abstract]

Plenary: Climate Change and the Development Agenda (Chair: James Adejuwon)

Mainstreaming adaptation in national development plans and strategies - obstacles and opportunities. (Dr. Bill Dougherty & Dr. Balgis Osman, AF14, Sudan) [PPT, 512 KB] [Abstract]

PRIVA: A tool for analyzing vulnerability and adaptation using food security as an example (Paul Desanker, AF38, Malawi/USA) [PPT, 168 KB] [Abstract]

The Fallacy of Policy: Rolling Back Malaria in East Africa. (Maggie Opondo, AF91, Kenya) [PPT, 1.4 MB] [Abstract]

Existent coping strategies as analogue to climate change adaptation in southwestern Nigeria (F.A. Adesina, I.O. Odebiyiia and J. Adejuwon AF23, Nigeria) [PPT, 3.4 MB] [Abstract]

Breakout Sessions

A: Policy Implications of Adaptation Research: How are we going to manage adaptation as a policy question? Do we need an Adaptation Protocol to the Convention, and if so what should it be about? (Chair: Ian Burton; Reporter: Jane Olwoch) [Report]

B: Supporting Decision-Making and National Communication with Assessments: What kind of climate information do end-users/stakeholders need, and how is it best communicated to them? How can/ will the results of your study contribute to decision-making in your study area? What challenges has your project team faced with regard to engaging and communicating information generated by your study to people in decision-making positions? (Chair: Emma Archer; Reporter: Dan Olago) [Report]

C: Integration of adaptation into development policies: Should development processes and plans integrate adaptations to climate change and climate variability? How might this be achieved? What are the opportunities and obstacles for doing so? Are there examples where this is currently being done? (Chair: Lisa Leclerc; Reporter: Daniel Dabi) [Report] [PPT, 44 KB]

Plenary (Chair: Paul Desanker)

Reports from Breakout Sessions & Discussion
Review plans for day 4

Day 4: Saturday March 27, 2004

Plenary: Role of Stakeholders in Assessments (Chair: Madeleine Diouf)

Community stakeholders’ discussions and workshops in the Lake Victoria Region. (Shem Wandiga, AF91) [PPT, 1.1 MB] [Abstract]

Dialogue with Policy Makers on Mainstreaming Climate Change in Malawi (George Mkondiwa, AF38) [PPT, 24 KB]

How the AF04 research could be used by the National Parks Board and Department of Environmental Affairs (Peter Novellie, AF04) [PPT, 220 KB] [Abstract]

Stakeholder dialogue in Zambia (Emanuel Matsika, AF38) [PPT, 928 KB]

Presentations from selected stakekholders

Samuel Akpabio, Federal Ministry of Environment, Nigeria
George Green, Water Research Commission, South Africa [PPT, 76 KB]
Festus Luboyera, UNFCCC Secretariat, Germany [PPT, 40 KB]
Shirley Moroka, Department of Environmental Affairs and Tourism, South Africa [PPT, 108 KB]
David Lesolle, Department of Meteorological Services, Botswana [PPT, 36 KB]
Madeleine Diouf, CERAAS/ISRA, Senegal

Plenary (Chair: Neil Leary)

Discussion about the effectiveness of stakeholder engagement in the AIACC studies
Discussion of AIACC Synthesis and Next Phase [PPT, 112 KB]
Closing